- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Rays TV Channel: BSKC | MLBN | BSUN
The Kansas City Royals (-110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Royals are 33-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-29 ATS.
Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-2, 2.72 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-4, 5.93 ERA
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+22.20 Units / 111% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+18.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+16.00 Units / 123% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.35 Units / 82% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 48 games (+17.39 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+20.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 34-18 against the Run Line (+13.79 Units / 19.3% ROI).
- 33-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.45 Units / 24.92% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -17.29% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 8.72% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-29 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -10.12% ROI).
- 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -15.46% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.53% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -8.35% ROI
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 40% of the time (805/2,016) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 37 of 351 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 2 of 90 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 42% of the time (338/805) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (48/155) against Aaron Civale this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (51 Total Bases / 85 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — third Percentile.
Aaron Civale has a strike rate of just 56% when ahead in the count (ninth lowest)– 11th Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (tied for fifth highest among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 15-88 (.146) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 24-14 (.632) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 11-47 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 9-78 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,815 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals are batting .422 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals are batting .442 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Rays are batting .266 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters have 108 strikeouts in 418 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 973 of 13,909 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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