- The Royals are -105 favorites vs the Tigers
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: BSKC | BSDT | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 16-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 11-14 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 3-1, 1.99 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-3, 3.74 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -225 | O 7.5 -110 | +100 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -110 | -120 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+14.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 games (+12.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 96% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mark Canha has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 70% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 46% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 135 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 16-10 against the Run Line (+3.04 Units / 8.47% ROI).
- 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 26.37% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -34.72% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 26.23% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 11-14 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -11.16% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 9.55% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -4.71% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 23% (14 SO in 61 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 23% (14 SO in 61 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 11% (14 SO in 126 PAs) this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has allowed an OPS of just .200 (36 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .738 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 26th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 10.
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .033 (1 Total Bases / 30 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Reese Olson in the 2023 season was 416.8 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Royals are just 17-44 (.279) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 9-44 (.170) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 21-132 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are 38-12 (.760) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are just 19-27 (.413) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,290 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,797 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (12,902 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .649 (4,080 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 271 of 3,100 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (557.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.07 (228.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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