- The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Astros
- Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-110) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 33-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 29-40 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 8-1, 1.92 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 2-5, 5.67 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -115 | -110 |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -105 | -110 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+19.10 Units / 127% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+18.50 Units / 132% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+13.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 12 games (+12.25 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+15.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+14.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 31-37 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -9.18% ROI).
- 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -5.74% ROI
- 38-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.3 Units / 15.77% ROI
- 24-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -25.04% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 29-40 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -14.22% ROI).
- 31-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.1 Units / -19.5% ROI
- 25-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -26.1% ROI
- 41-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 17.43% ROI
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Abreu (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .127 (14-for-110) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .179 (117 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .223 (404 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 3 of 117 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 85% (11/13) against Hunter Brown — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .425 (45-for-106) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (191/313) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.1 MPH on the 310 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 87.5.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Tigers are 68-29 (.701) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .061.
The Astros are 162-23 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 108-30 (.783) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .311 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (10,997 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (14,493 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .220 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,054/14,918 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 769 strikeouts in 4,421 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 188 of 2,543 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 299 of 3,480 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .266 against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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