- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 33-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 30-40 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 3-4, 3.27 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-2, 3.97 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -110 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -110 | -130 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+18.10 Units / 113% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+17.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 13 games (+13.25 Units / 83% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+12.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+14.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 70 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 31-38 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -11.19% ROI).
- 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -6.93% ROI
- 38-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.25 Units / 14.1% ROI
- 25-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -23.26% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 30-40 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -11.96% ROI).
- 32-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -18.26% ROI
- 25-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.7 Units / -27.11% ROI
- 42-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.35 Units / 18.46% ROI
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander (HOU) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (184/527) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has struck out 34% (49/143) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty’s K:BB ratio is 9.4 (94/10) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.2 — 97th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (541/1,283) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .303 (160 Total Bases / 528 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 92nd Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .539 (755 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .566 (576 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .888.
The Tigers are just 25-4 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.
The Tigers are just 40-50 (.444) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are just 7-35 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Astros are 162-23 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 228-166 (.579) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 19-18 (.514) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,025 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .220 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (14,524 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 771 strikeouts in 4,448 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (402/2,642 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have just 450 strikeouts in 2,598 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 299 of 3,488 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 258 of 2,648 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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