- The Tigers are + favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Tigers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSDT | ESPN+
The Detroit Tigers () visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays () on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Tigers are 48-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 45-52 ATS.
Tigers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 4-8, 3.30 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-8, 4.43 ERA
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | O | ||
| Blue Jays | U |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+10.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 96 games (+8.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 48-50 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -5.52% ROI).
- 48-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 51-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 6.21% ROI
- 40-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.3 Units / -15.61% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 45-52 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -13.55% ROI).
- 44-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.56% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -8.52% ROI
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carson Kelly (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .340 (17-for-50) against Reese Olson’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — third Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 55% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– sixth Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (seventh highest among qualified SPs)– 91st Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (266/418) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (725/1,148) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .209 (9-for-43) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 98th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 52% (14 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (96/347) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Yusei Kikuchi on low fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — sixth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are 11-34 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Tigers are just 9-14 (.391) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Tigers are just 32-8 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Tigers are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .755.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are just 8-47 (.145) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Blue Jays are 30-26 (.536) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 15-66 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Blue Jays are 42-28 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,869 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .655 (11,869 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .363 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 142 strikeouts in 768 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 410 strikeouts in 2,173 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 656 strikeouts in 3,412 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (3,412 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 319 of 3,743 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 263 of 3,635 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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