- The Blue Jays are -155 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+130) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Tigers are 49-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 45-53 ATS.
Tigers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-2, 5.54 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 7-8, 4.50 ERA
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -105 | +130 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -155 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 away games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+9.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 49-50 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -4.69% ROI).
- 49-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -3.34% ROI
- 52-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 7.09% ROI
- 40-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.4 Units / -16.49% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 45-53 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -14.2% ROI).
- 44-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -13.74% ROI
- 50-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 45-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -9.45% ROI
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -175 | 5.5 +130 |
| Keider Montero (DET) | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -175 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keider Montero has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.
Keider Montero has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (5 Total Bases / 25 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .417 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (24/111) against Keider Montero this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.
Keider Montero has allowed an OPS of just .459 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .737 — 88th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (356/688) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 7.19 (46.1 IP) at home this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.45 — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (966/1,270) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .211 (48-for-227) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — eighth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are 49-21 (.700) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .621.
The Tigers are 11-34 (.244) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Tigers are just 29-160 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 38-4 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are just 8-47 (.145) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Blue Jays are 30-26 (.536) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 15-66 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Blue Jays are just 14-26 (.350) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,884 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 413 strikeouts in 2,180 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (3,419 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .649 (775 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 319 of 3,752 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 265 of 3,667 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 251 of 3,768 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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