- The Padres are -200 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Padres TV Channel: BSDT | PDTV
The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-200) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Tigers are 70-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 70-69 ATS.
Tigers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 4-6, 5.22 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 4-4, 4.48 ERA
Tigers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -110 | +165 |
| Padres | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -110 | -200 |
Tigers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+17.90 Units / 112% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 30 games (+29.60 Units / 99% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+14.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+13.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+11.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 51 games (+18.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 53 games (+14.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 away games (+12.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 62 games (+15.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 107 games (+6.20 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+3.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 73-65 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 0.78% ROI).
- 70-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 0.94% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -8.63% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 70-69 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 1.79% ROI).
- 78-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 76-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 6.15% ROI
- 61-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.4 Units / -15.18% ROI
Padres vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Padres vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Padres vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove (SD) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .339 (41-for-121) against Mason Englert since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.
Mason Englert has allowed an OPS of .993 (132 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .684 — first Percentile.
Mason Englert has a strikeout rate of just 34% (57 SO in 169 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Mason Englert has allowed a slugging percentage of .527 (167 Total Bases / 317 ABs) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 0 Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has not allowed a home run in any of the last 35.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 79.2.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% (113/324) against Joe Musgrove on fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to May 21st — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Joe Musgrove has not walked any of the 33 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Tigers are 33-3 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Tigers are 60-9 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Tigers are 68-14 (.829) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Padres are 15-11 (.577) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Padres are 10-53 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Padres are 57-7 (.891) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Padres are 25-18 (.581) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .311 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Tigers are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (17,057 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (2,679 PA’s) when leading off an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 912 strikeouts in 5,246 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 249 strikeouts in 1,476 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have just 998 strikeouts in 5,042 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 362 of 5,092 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 340 of 4,102 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (7,326 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have have still managed to win 36% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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