Tigers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 22

min read
Tampa Bay Rays' Josh Lowe pumps his fist while rounding the bases on his solo home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 22, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Rays
  • Tigers vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Rays TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN

The Detroit Tigers (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Tigers are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 10-13 ATS.

Tigers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 2-0, 2.28 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 1-0, 2.14 ERA

Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +150O 7.5 -110-115
Rays +1.5 -185U 7.5 -110-105

Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.60 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+12.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 9-13 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -16.22% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -7.76% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.61% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-13 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -9.01% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 7.51% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -17.39% ROI

Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (72/92) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (72/92) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have no hard-hit balls on 21 balls in play against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 42% (15 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Littell has allowed an OBP of .389 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among in AL; League Avg: .286 — eighth Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown elevated sliders42% of the time (52/125) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (19/52) against Zack Littell on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (51/63) of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers are 37-11 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are just 19-27 (.413) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Tigers are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

keys to the game – home

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (9,711 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,711 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Tigers hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 25 total hits (60%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays have scored first in 64% of their games since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have drawn 40 walks in 595 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (557.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Opponents are hitting just .208 against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.82 (801.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 905 of 12,816 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.