- The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Red Sox TV Channel: ATV+
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-160) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Tigers are 28-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 25-32 ATS.
Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 2-1, 5.92 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 4-5, 1.90 ERA
Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.50 Units / 562% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 104% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+18.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 44 games (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+4.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 55% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+12.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 57 games (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-30 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -8.39% ROI).
- 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 9.82% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -19.18% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-32 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -15.66% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 21-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -21.92% ROI
- 32-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 14.44% ROI
Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Kenta Maeda (DET) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (35/146) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (6/42) against Kenta Maeda this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (9/43) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (56/110) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (73/117) against Tanner Houck this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (112/196) against Tanner Houck this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .204 (19 Total Bases / 93 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .437 (99 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are just 24-95 (.202) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are 43-14 (.754) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
The Tigers are 67-25 (.728) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 3-165 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 39-69 (.361) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Red Sox are 82-7 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are just 44-57 (.436) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (2,564 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Tigers are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .670 (6,973 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 159 strikeouts in 553 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,678 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Red Sox hitters have 74 strikeouts in 264 PA’s (28%) against LHP this month (25 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 148 of 2,080 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 290 of 3,373 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 148 of 2,112 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 136 of 1,945 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 31 of 510 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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