Tigers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 3

min read
New York Yankees' Aaron Judge during the ninth inning of a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles Thursday, May 25, 2023, in New York. The Orioles won 3-1.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 03, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSDT | MLBN

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Tigers are 18-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 15-18 ATS.

Tigers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-4, 3.14 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 2-1, 3.74 ERA

Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -155O 7.5 -110+135
Yankees -1.5 +125U 7.5 -110-160

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Tigers vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.10 Units / 189% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+18.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+14.30 Units / 143% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 14-17 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -6.63% ROI).

  • 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 11.79% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -7.25% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -1.44% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 15-18 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -6.68% ROI).

  • 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 2.88% ROI
  • 12-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -24.2% ROI
  • 19-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 15.69% ROI

Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Reese Olson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.1 innings he’s appeared — Ian Hamilton has the longest active streak at 48.1.

Reese Olson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to April 1st — Logan Gilbert has the longest active streak at 8.

Opponents are hitting .419 (13-for-31) against Reese Olson versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 28% (17/61) against Reese Olson this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of .593 (32 Total Bases / 54 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has allowed an OBP of .407 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .281 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (52/89) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 64% of the time (369/578) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Tigers are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.

The Tigers are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 23-133 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are 64-23 (.736) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Yankees are 49-50 (.495) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Yankees are 107-68 (.611) at home since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Yankees are 114-87 (.567) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (9,977 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,977 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Tigers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,118 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Yankees hitters have grounded into 39 double plays in 258 opportunities (15%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Yankees are batting .422 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (584.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (126.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.

Tigers pitchers have walked 85 of 1,165 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .230.

Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

Bet now on Tigers vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.