Tigers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 5

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New York Yankees' DJ LeMahieu hits a one-run double in the sixth inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the Boston Red Sox, Tuesday, Sept. 12, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 05, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Yankees are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Tigers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSDT | MLBN

The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Tigers are 18-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 16-19 ATS.

Tigers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 4-0, 1.72 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 1-3, 3.86 ERA

Tigers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -200O 6.5 -105+115
Yankees -1.5 +165U 6.5 -115-135

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+20.10 Units / 201% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+19.30 Units / 161% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+16.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 15-18 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -7.32% ROI).

  • 18-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 5.78% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -7.07% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -1.64% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 16-19 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -5.78% ROI).

  • 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 6.66% ROI
  • 13-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -23.07% ROI
  • 20-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 14.54% ROI

Yankees vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Jake Rogers (DET) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Yankees vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Yankees vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Jake Rogers (DET) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Yankees vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (30 Total Bases / 130 ABs) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (49/91) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .078 (4 Total Bases / 51 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .203 (138 PA’s) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (33/125) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has a strike rate of 72% (130/181) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (273/719) against Nestor Cortes on sliders since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .279 — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Tigers are 40-13 (.755) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .615.

The Tigers are just 21-89 (.191) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Tigers are just 21-28 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Tigers are just 23-134 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Yankees are 50-50 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Yankees are 119-31 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Yankees are 54-8 (.871) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (10,042 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (10,042 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Tigers have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,677 of their 7,304 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees have grounded into 41 double plays this season — most in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .419 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .381.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 276 of 3,171 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (584.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.85 (142.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Yankees have won 59% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (314.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.

Yankees vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
  • DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
  • Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.