- The Twins are -120 favorites vs the Giants
- Twins vs Giants Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Giants TV Channel: FOX
The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Twins are 53-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 47-48 ATS.
Twins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 3-1, 3.49 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 1-0, 4.50 ERA
Twins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Twins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 74 games (+8.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games at home (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 44-50 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -5.74% ROI).
- 53-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.19% ROI
- 47-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
- 43-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -8.63% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 47-48 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.93% ROI).
- 46-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 53-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 10.06% ROI
- 39-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -18.65% ROI
Giants vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Hayden Birdsong (SF) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 20th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .424 (14 GB hits out of 33 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (11 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .371 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (20/121) against Simeon Woods Richardson on changeups this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 30% — sixth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hayden Birdsong has allowed an OBP of .471 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — 4th highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .324 — seventh Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has allowed an OPS of .810 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 10th highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .587 — 19th Percentile.
Hayden Birdsong has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (10 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Hayden Birdsong when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — eighth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are 15-28 (.349) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Twins are 113-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 54-17 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Twins are 15-10 (.600) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are 28-176 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Giants are 40-21 (.656) after a home loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Giants are 18-8 (.692) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .543.
The Giants are just 9-14 (.391) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,135 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Twins hitters are slugging .462 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Twins hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 45 strikeouts in 148 PA’s (30%) against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,054 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Giants hitters have drawn 86 walks in 847 PA’s (10%) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 684 of 9,506 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 135 of 2,280 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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