- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Giants TV Channel: BSNO | NSBA
The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-145) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Twins are 54-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 47-49 ATS.
Twins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 5-3, 5.19 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-3, 7.86 ERA
Twins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -145 |
Twins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+21.80 Units / 87% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 75 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games at home (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 45-50 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.81% ROI).
- 54-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.67% ROI
- 47-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.02% ROI
- 44-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -7.57% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 47-49 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -4.69% ROI).
- 46-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 53-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 40-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -17.5% ROI
Giants vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Blake Snell (SF) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (73 Total Bases / 132 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .397 — third Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 17% (20 SO in 115 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .491 (52 Total Bases / 106 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .309 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has an ERA of 7.25 (36.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — 0 Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (219/589) against Blake Snell since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 49 of 347 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (286/879 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 59% (1,816/3,079) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are 15-28 (.349) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Twins are 43-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Twins are 15-10 (.600) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Twins are 23-82 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are 20-112 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are 28-177 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Giants are 18-8 (.692) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Giants are 5-42 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .285 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 112 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Twins hitters are slugging .419 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 43 strikeouts in 135 PA’s (32%) against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .160 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Giants are batting just .250 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters have 1,164 strikeouts in 4,776 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .162 against Twins pitchers this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 1,140 of 15,749 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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