- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Tigers TV Channel: BSNX | BSDT
The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Twins are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 4-7 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-1, 2.84 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 1-0, 2.92 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | O 7 +100 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -120 | -125 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 72% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 99% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+9.39 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-6 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -10.53% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -24.9% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -43.35% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 37.98% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 4-7 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -26.47% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 10.78% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 3.7% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 69% (11/16) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (24/58) against Pablo Lopez in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (24/58) against Pablo Lopez in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (184/478) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (10/20) against Tarik Skubal on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 78% (39/50) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (30/75) against Tarik Skubal this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (36/94) against Tarik Skubal this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Twins are 35-12 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Tigers are 33-10 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Tigers are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Tigers are just 19-87 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .566 (286 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Twins are batting just .121 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .225.
Twins hitters are slugging just .293 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Twins are batting just .104 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .162.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,332 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,332 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (12,371 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 16 of 102 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 266 of 2,973 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Twins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
