- The Twins are -145 favorites vs the Tigers
- Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Tigers TV Channel: BSNO | BSDT
The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+120) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Twins are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-7 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 0-1, 3.18 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 0-1, 9.73 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | O 8 +100 | -145 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | U 8 -120 | +120 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 72% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 99% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+9.39 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -26.09% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -30.65% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -31.64% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 25.33% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -13.8% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 16.06% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Kenta Maeda (DET) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (123/171) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 1 of 44 batters (2%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a swing rate of 57% (708/1,249) against Joe Ryan in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan had a strikeout rate of 29% (197/672) in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenta Maeda has allowed an OPS of 1.697 (15 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .753 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (25/105) against Kenta Maeda on sliders since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Kenta Maeda had a strike rate of just 54% (47/87) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 25% (26/103) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 35-12 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Twins are 12-67 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Tigers are just 21-128 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are just 38-50 (.432) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .184 (239 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters are slugging just .237 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .553.
The Twins are batting just .135 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,369 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (9,369 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (12,412 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 16 of 111 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 266 of 2,982 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (501.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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