White Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 21

Toronto Blue Jays' Davis Schneider during a baseball game against the Oakland Athletics in Oakland, Calif., Tuesday, Sept. 5, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Blue Jays are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • White Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | NSCH

The Chicago White Sox (+145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the White Sox are 14-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 21-25 ATS.

White Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 4-4, 4.18 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 2-3, 2.60 ERA

White Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -145O 7 -105+145
Blue Jays -1.5 +120U 7 -115-175

White Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+17.30 Units / 288% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+14.95 Units / 166% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 away games (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.45 Units / 7% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 22-26 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -13.62% ROI).

  • 14-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -30.45% ROI
  • 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -12.75% ROI
  • 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 4.18% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 21-25 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -14.25% ROI).

  • 21-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -13.16% ROI
  • 19-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -21.35% ROI
  • 27-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 11.41% ROI

Blue Jays vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Paul DeJong (CWS) 0.5 +525 0.5 -800

Blue Jays vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Corey Julks (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Blue Jays vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Garrett Crochet (CWS) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155

Garrett Crochet has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (85/178) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has allowed a slugging percentage of .743 (26 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — first Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 40% (36 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 34% (70 SO in 208 PAs) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (22 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — first Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (51/151) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .136 (3-for-22) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — 98th Percentile.

5 of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The White Sox are just 9-25 (.265) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The White Sox are just 55-19 (.743) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The White Sox are just 63-9 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The White Sox are just 26-49 (.347) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Blue Jays are 25-17 (.595) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Blue Jays are 177-46 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Blue Jays are just 11-71 (.134) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The White Sox are batting just .177 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 17% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,783 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .258 (703 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .159 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Blue Jays hitters have just 68 strikeouts in 386 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have chased just 16% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,611 strikeouts in 8,327 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 1,366 of 14,257 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 15% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .431 this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

Blue Jays vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.