- The Guardians are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH | ESPN+
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the White Sox are 1-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 7-2 ATS.
White Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 0-1, 10.81 ERA
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -120 | O 7.5 +100 | +180 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +100 | U 7.5 -120 | -225 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 73% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 5-4 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.87% ROI).
- 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -71.67% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -48.29% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 40.63% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 7-2 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 49.58% ROI).
- 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 56.46% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 16.08% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -27.27% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 46 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 4% (2 SO in 46 PAs) this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (10/70) against Mike Soroka this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Mike Soroka has struck out just 8% (2/25) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has thrown breaking pitches 67% of the time (52/78) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .224 (192 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed an OPS of just .566 (192 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .755 — 98th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has a strike rate of 71% (482/680) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are just 52-8 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 49-36 (.563) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The White Sox are just 19-43 (.306) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 34-115 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .212 (3,308 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The White Sox are batting just .155 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .659 (3,565 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .669 (1,986 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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