- The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- White Sox / Marlins TV Channel: NSCH | BSFL
The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-130) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the White Sox are 25-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 38-49 ATS.
White Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Drew Thorpe 2-1, 4.50 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Bryan Hoeing 0-0, 1.83 ERA
White Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +110 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -130 |
White Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+22.20 Units / 202% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 away games (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 games at home (+17.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 41-48 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 25-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.7 Units / -32.64% ROI
- 41-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 44-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.73% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 38-49 against the Run Line (-26.06 Units / -22.32% ROI).
- 30-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -21.56% ROI
- 46-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 40-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -10.31% ROI
Marlins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Marlins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Marlins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gavin Sheets (CWS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Thorpe (CWS) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Bryan Hoeing (MIA) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -160 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Drew Thorpe when going through the lineup the second time in a game — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .103 (4-for-39) against Drew Thorpe — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (70/182) over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has a strike rate of just 58% (106/182) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of 1.139 (123 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .708 — first Percentile.
Bryan Hoeing has allowed a slugging percentage of .491 (196 Total Bases / 399 ABs) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .366 — first Percentile.
Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .961 (109 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .707 — second Percentile.
Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .809 (441 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .671 — third Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The White Sox are just 13-12 (.520) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The White Sox are just 8-25 (.242) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The White Sox are just 9-9 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .755.
The White Sox are just 21-20 (.512) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Marlins are just 25-18 (.581) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Marlins are just 2-13 (.133) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Marlins are just 9-9 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .755.
The Marlins are just 16-9 (.640) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (4,867 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (4,544 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,145 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .455 (4,867 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .196 (1,615 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,035 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .598 (1,035 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against White Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.17 (1058.0 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have allowed 5.85 runs per game (269/46) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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