White Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 8

min read
Tampa Bay Rays' Josh Lowe pumps his fist while rounding the bases on his solo home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 08, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rays are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Rays TV Channel: NSCH | BSUN

The Chicago White Sox (+195) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-250) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the White Sox are 8-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 16-21 ATS.

White Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 1-3, 4.91 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-2, 6.14 ERA

White Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -105O 8.5 -125+195
Rays -1.5 -115U 8.5 -105-250

White Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+13.50 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Korey Lee has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+5.65 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+18.50 Units / 308% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 16-20 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -17.06% ROI).

  • 8-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -47.57% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -4.89% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -4.05% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 16-21 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -10.41% ROI).

  • 19-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -11.09% ROI
  • 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 8.37% ROI
  • 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -17.65% ROI

Rays vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Jonny DeLuca (TB) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Gavin Sheets (CWS) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Rays vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tommy Pham (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nicky Lopez (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rays vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jonny DeLuca (TB) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Rays vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Civale (TB) 5.5 -115 5.5 -115
Chris Flexen (CWS) 3.5 +110 3.5 -145

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .689 (146 Total Bases / 212 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .451 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .368 (35-for-95) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 0 Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .996 (210 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .755 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .321 (96-for-299) against Chris Flexen since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (23/70) against Aaron Civale this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .474 (9-for-19) against Aaron Civale on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 26% (20/77) against Aaron Civale this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The White Sox are just 57-9 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox are just 22-47 (.319) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The White Sox are just 9-24 (.273) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The White Sox are just 27-24 (.529) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rays are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 14-31 (.311) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Rays are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .246 (240 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .214 (3,831 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,642 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (3,548 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Rays are batting just .201 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .330 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

28% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Rays are batting .268 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The White Sox have won just 9% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 799 of 7,682 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 941 of 13,347 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.