White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 6

Boston Red Sox's Masataka Yoshida bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Tuesday, June 20, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • The Red Sox are -275 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSCH

The Chicago White Sox (+225) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-275) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the White Sox are 32-109 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 63-77 ATS.

White Sox vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 0-3, 3.66 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-10, 4.52 ERA

White Sox vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 +110O 8.5 -105+225
Red Sox -1.5 -135U 8.5 -115-275

White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 69.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games (+21.90 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+16.65 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 43 games (+29.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in his last 17 games at home (+17.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+14.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.40 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 away games (+4.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 away games (+1.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+5.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 57-84 against the Run Line (-33.35 Units / -20.08% ROI).

  • 32-109 when betting on the Moneyline for -60.65 Units / -42.37% ROI
  • 61-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -10.6% ROI
  • 70-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 2.3% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 63-77 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -12.7% ROI).

  • 70-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • 72-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 3.42% ROI
  • 61-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.55 Units / -11.5% ROI

Red Sox vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Red Sox vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +210
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Red Sox vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Red Sox vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Martin (CWS) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Nick Pivetta (BOS) 6.5 +105 6.5 -135

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 25 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Davis Martin. — Josh Hader has the longest active streak at 34.

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 27 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from Davis Martin. — Aaron Ashby has the longest active streak at 37.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .817 (143 Total Bases / 175 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .561 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .783 (288 Total Bases / 368 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .573 — 0 Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .176 (647 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .848 (89 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .588 — 0 Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are just 9-22 (.290) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .640.

The White Sox are just 22-87 (.202) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.

The White Sox are just 14-55 (.203) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The White Sox are just 26-21 (.553) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are 23-16 (.590) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Red Sox are just 5-199 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Red Sox are just 35-46 (.432) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (5,527 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .292 (2,598 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The White Sox are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .321 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Red Sox hitters have 456 strikeouts in 1,617 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Red Sox are batting .394 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Red Sox are batting .257 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Red Sox are batting .268 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The White Sox have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 560 of 5,456 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 388 of 5,320 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Red Sox vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.