White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 7

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Boston Red Sox's Jarren Duran plays against the Toronto Blue Jays during the first inning of a baseball game, Saturday, Aug. 5, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 07, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Red Sox are -200 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • White Sox / Red Sox TV Channel: FOX

The Chicago White Sox (+165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-200) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the White Sox are 32-110 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 64-77 ATS.

White Sox vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-10, 3.61 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 5-4, 4.21 ERA

White Sox vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -125O 8.5 -105+165
Red Sox -1.5 +105U 8.5 -115-200

White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+20.90 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+15.65 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 44 games (+28.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+14.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+14.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.40 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 away games (+5.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 36% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 57-85 against the Run Line (-34.35 Units / -20.56% ROI).

  • 32-110 when betting on the Moneyline for -61.65 Units / -42.77% ROI
  • 61-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -11.23% ROI
  • 71-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 2.94% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 64-77 against the Run Line (-22.55 Units / -12.07% ROI).

  • 71-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -3.48% ROI
  • 72-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 2.69% ROI
  • 62-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -10.76% ROI

Red Sox vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Danny Jansen (BOS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Romy Gonzalez (BOS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Red Sox vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nicky Lopez (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175

Red Sox vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Danny Jansen (BOS) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200

Red Sox vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Garrett Crochet (CWS) 5.5 -105 5.5 -125
Cooper Criswell (Bos) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 39% (94 SO in 240 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 40% (45 SO in 112 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 33% (200 SO in 603 PAs) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 36% (126 SO in 348 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Division opponents are hitting .353 (36-for-102) against Cooper Criswell this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has a strikeout rate of just 31% (66 SO in 213 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has allowed an OPS of .672 (213 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .506 — 0 Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (35/62) against Cooper Criswell when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 96th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The White Sox are just 26-21 (.553) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The White Sox are just 76-70 (.521) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The White Sox are just 31-109 (.221) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 71-35 (.670) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Red Sox are just 3-133 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Red Sox are just 5-199 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Red Sox are just 31-37 (.456) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Red Sox are just 55-50 (.524) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (8,504 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (11,105 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The White Sox are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

The Red Sox are batting .393 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .425 against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .436 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 562 of 5,489 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 391 of 5,355 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Red Sox vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.