- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees / Astros TV Channel: ATV+
The New York Yankees (+100) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Yankees are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 0-1 ATS.
Yankees vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | O 9 -105 | +100 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -115 | -120 |
Yankees vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Jake Meyers has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+8.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 64.52% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.24 Units / 124% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.48 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (101 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Carlos Rodon has 57 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 6th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon’s highest spin rate on sliders since the 2022 season is 3503.0 RPM — 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2862.8
Carlos Rodon’s lowest spin rate on sliders since the 2022 season is 84.0 RPM — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1323.3
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 20% (38/194) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier elevated 51% of his pitches (353/699) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 37% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (447/1,199) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier elevated 52% of his pitches (458/881) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Yankees are 21-17 (.553) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees were just 9-37 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees were just 10-56 (.152) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Astros are 16-11 (.593) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Astros were 13-7 (.650) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 137-20 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Astros are 40-20 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,359 of their 5,973 plate appearances (23%) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Back, Out
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, Out
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wandy Peralta (New York Yankees): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Calf, Out
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