- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Mets
- Yankees vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Mets TV Channel: TBS | SNY | YES
The New York Yankees (-145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+120) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Yankees are 52-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 36-40 ATS.
Yankees vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 0-0, 4.50 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 3-0, 3.97 ERA
Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -105 | -145 |
| Mets | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -115 | +120 |
Yankees vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+22.70 Units / 568% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 45 games (+20.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+16.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+21.10 Units / 352% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+12.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+19.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 46 games (+19.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 57 games (+17.19 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+15.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 80 games (+12.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 67 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+6.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-34 against the Run Line (+16.2 Units / 16.85% ROI).
- 52-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 10.87% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -4.32% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 36-40 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -6.58% ROI).
- 37-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -1.88% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -6.09% ROI
Mets vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .295 (164 Total Bases / 555 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .195 (108-for-555) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .198 (108-for-546) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 92nd Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has struck out 32% (238/752) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (326/607) of right-handed hitters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .321 (305 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (197/783 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 84 of 783 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees are 9-10 (.474) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Yankees are 58-18 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .619.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets are just 24-10 (.706) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .890.
The Mets are 5-30 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Mets are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.
The Mets are 13-161 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .713 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Yankees hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,064 of their 9,004 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,232 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .591 against LHP this month (15 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Mets are batting .276 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .771 (825 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Mets are batting just .230 at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 880 of 8,996 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 66 of 684 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 289 of 2,912 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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