- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES | ESPN+
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 56-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 50-43 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 1-1, 6.89 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-3, 6.51 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -110 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -110 | -105 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+14.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.64 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 84 games (+14.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 78 games (+13.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 46 games (+5.60 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 50-45 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 9.17% ROI).
- 56-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.36% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 2.29% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -11.36% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 50-43 against the Run Line (+14.8 Units / 13.85% ROI).
- 57-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 5.39% ROI
- 47-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 8.88% ROI
- 35-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -16.67% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| J.D. Davis (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Trevino (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .249 (618 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .552 (619 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .553 (335 PA’s) versus the top of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .760 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 30% (185 SO in 619 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to June 24th — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 7.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 60-19 (.759) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Yankees are 57-61 (.483) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Yankees are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 32-23 (.582) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Orioles are 112-18 (.862) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 222 walks in 2,154 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,197 of their 9,585 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .771 (2,656 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .806 (1,110 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,539 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Orioles hitters are slugging .455 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Orioles hitters have 109 HRs in just 2,293 ABs (21.0 AB/HR) against RHP this season — best AB per HR rate in MLB; League Avg: 30.5 AB’s Per HR.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.61 (234.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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