- The Padres are -120 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Yankees / Padres TV Channel: YES | PDTV | MLBN
The New York Yankees () visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Yankees are 37-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 28-27 ATS.
Yankees vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-2, 2.59 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 3-4, 6.24 ERA
Yankees vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | O | ||
| Padres | U |
Yankees vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+16.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+15.25 Units / 80% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 39 games (+21.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+17.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+17.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+17.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+16.20 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+15.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 31-23 against the Run Line (+12.2 Units / 18.61% ROI).
- 37-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 16.34% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -14.64% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 6.27% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 28-27 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 3.69% ROI).
- 27-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -9.71% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 3.09% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -11.76% ROI
Padres vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Padres vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.7 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Clarke Schmidt has walked 11 of 90 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has struck out 35% (39/112) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has a strikeout rate of 34% (31 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.0 MPH against his fastballs since the 2022 season (304 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 90.7
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (97/304) against Joe Musgrove on fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .463 (38-for-82) against Joe Musgrove in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of .760 (19 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .363 — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Yankees are 24-18 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees are 54-52 (.509) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Yankees are 93-28 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Yankees are 61-8 (.884) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Padres are just 7-20 (.259) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Padres are just 19-35 (.352) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Padres are just 8-144 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Padres are just 1-92 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .765 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .548.
Yankees hitters are slugging .461 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .800 (1,538 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Yankees hitters are slugging .486 this month (23 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Padres are batting .303 on the road this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Padres are batting just .214 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.74 (483.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
The Yankees have won 60% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Yankees vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
