No Surprise Kyle Larson Is Odds-on Favorite To Win Goodyear 400

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Kyle Larson (5) walks to his car for NASCAR Cup Series practice at Dover Motor Speedway, Saturday, April 30, 2022, in Dover, Del.
(AP Photo/Jason Minto)
Ryan Hannable @RyanHannable May 04, 2022, 12:11 PM

Kyle Larson doesn’t have the most experience of late at Darlington Raceway, the track for this week’s Goodyear 400, but he’s had a ton of success.

Since Feb. of 2019, Larson has competed in three races at Darlington Raceway and has finished second in all three of them – the Bojangles’ Southern 500 (Sept. 2019), the Goodyear 400 (May 2021) and the Cook Out Southern 500 (Sept. 2021). This is why it’s no surprise the NASCAR odds this week have Larson at +500 to win, which are the best in the field.

Larson will enter this week’s race with some momentum following last week’s DuraMAX Drydene 400, which was completed on Monday after the race was stopped following 78 laps on Sunday due to rain. Larson came back from a spin in stage two to finish sixth and record his third consecutive top-10 finish after leading 19 laps.

The 29-year-old is also in a good position to win this year’s NASCAR Cup Series Championship. 

In 11 starts, he has five top-5 finishes, including his win at the Wisepower 400 in February. This has him currently ranked eighth in the standings but at +500, he has the best odds at the BetMGM online sportsbook.

Larson is also the NASCAR betting favorite to win the Cup Series Championship, pulling in 9.8% of the tickets and 14.3% of the handle, both the highest of any driver.

A win, or at least continuing his success at Darlington Raceway at this week’s Goodyear 400, will only boost his odds and increase his chances.

Besides betting on who will win the race, there are also a few interesting Featured Matchups over at BetMGM.

Denny Hamlin (-115) vs. Martin Truex Jr. (-115)

It’s no surprise this featured matchup is so close. Both drivers have had a ton of recent success at Darlington. Since Feb. of 2019, Hamlin and Truex Jr. have competed in six races at the track. Hamlin has an average finish of 9, while Truex Jr.’s is 9.7. 

Hamlin has two wins to Truex Jr.’s one. Meanwhile, Truex Jr. has led 24.3% of the laps compared to Hamlin’s 9.6%.

Both have +700 odds to win this week, so this featured matchup truly is a toss-up.

Chris Buescher (-135) vs. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+105)

Both Buescher and Stenhouse Jr. are +8000 to win the race, but it’s easy to see why Buescher is a favorite in this matchup.

In both drivers’ last six races at Darlington, Buescher has an average finish of 18.5, while Stenhouse Jr.’s is 25.7.

With that being said, Stenhouse Jr. is coming off a second-place finish last week so, he is entering the week with some good vibes.

Kyle Busch (-135) vs. Ross Chastain (+105)

Busch the favorite in this matchup, and it shows in the odds to win the race. He is +900, while Chastain is +1200.

Busch also has faired much better at Darlington than his counterpart. His average finish in his last six races at the track is 12.7, including three top-5 finishes. Meanwhile, Chastain’s average finish in his previous four races at the track is 18.8.

William Byron (-165) vs. Ryan Blaney (+125)

Byron is the biggest favorite of any of the featured matchups this week. He has two top-5 finishes in his last three races at the track. Meanwhile, Blaney has just one top-10 finish in 10 career races at Darlington.

Byron also has slightly better odds to win the race – +1000 to Blaney’s +1400. It is worth pointing out that Blaney’s average finish at the track in their last six races is actually better than Byron’s – 17.3 to 18.5.

At plus-money, Blaney may offer some good value given there isn’t as big of a difference in the two drives as the juice would indicate.

You can view updated Goodyear 400 odds and more online sports betting opportunities at BetMGM.

Jamie Foxx holding a mobile phone next to the BetMGM's risk-free bet offer.
About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”

Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”