76ers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 7

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on SUN | NSPA

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The 76ers vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 26-50 against the spread, while the Heat are 38-39 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers O
Miami Heat U

Heat vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Heat.

Heat vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 89 games (+15.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.74 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.33 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 games (+23.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+18.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 44 games (+15.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+12.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 26-50 (-29 Units / -33.82% ROI).

  • 23-55 against the Moneyline (-36.35 Units / -31.54% ROI)
  • 45-31 against the Over for game total points (+10.9 Units / 12.7% ROI)
  • 31-45 against the Under for game total points (-18.5 Units / -21.56% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 38-39 (-4.9 Units / -5.71% ROI).

  • 35-43 against the Moneyline (-13.85 Units / -10.53% ROI)
  • 40-38 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • 38-40 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -6.99% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 57 games (-22.27 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-21.98 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games (-19.55 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 47 games (-17.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 84 games (-39.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 85 games (-30.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 69 games (-24.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.59 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 89 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers are 3-19 (.136) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .415

The 76ers are 1-8 (.111) when attempting 15 or less free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .421

The 76ers are 16-31 (.340) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 13.2 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-lowest in the NBA.

The 76ers were 22-7 (.759) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 31-13 (.705) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .594

The Heat are 7-16 (.304) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Heat are 28-6 (.824) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 109.6 points per game (8,549 points/78 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

The 76ers had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The 76ers have averaged 23.2 assists per game (1,812 assists/78 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.5

The 76ers have averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (1,057 turnovers/78 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (935 points/160 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (943 points/80 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Heat have averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,137 points/958 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 31.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,449 rebounds/78 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,234 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 8.8 steals per game (1,416 steals/160 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The 76ers have averaged 9.2 steals per game (736 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (280 blocks/80 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (574 blocks/160 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (294 blocks/78 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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