WNBA MVP Odds 2026: A’ja Wilson Favored for 5th Trophy

Las Vegas Aces forward A’ja Wilson remains the betting favorite to win the 2026 WNBA MVP award.

Get the latest WNBA odds and predictions for the 2026 WNBA MVP race:

Odds to Win WNBA MVP 2026

Who Will Win WNBA MVP in 2026?

Las Vegas Aces forward A’ja Wilson is the betting favorite in the latest WNBA MVP odds at BetMGM. Wilson is currently -5000, giving her an implied probability of 98.04% to win a fifth MVP trophy in 2026.

Wilson cemented herself as one of the greatest players in league history following her 2025 campaign. In addition to guiding the Aces to an improbable championship after their 12-13 start, Wilson became the first player in league history to win a fourth MVP award. She received 51 of 72 first-place votes and 21 second-place votes (657 points) from a national panel of sportswriters and broadcasters.

Despite what she accomplished last year, Wilson began with the second-best odds at +250, trailing Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark as the early favorite (+225) in the preseason. The two players eventually switched places in the final days before the regular season began.

While Clark has immense potential as a third-year guard, Wilson is the deserving favorite as the best player in the league at the peak of her powers.

WNBA MVP Prediction 2026

Prediction: A’ja Wilson

The MVP debate is hotter than ever during the home stretch of the regular season. But the betting odds tell a different story.

Wilson’s WNBA MVP odds at BetMGM went from -800 to -1400 in August. Her value improved to -5000 in the final week, suggesting there really isn’t much of a race. This comes as people are making strong pushes for Minnesota Lynx rookie guard Olivia Miles and Clark.

Miles has certainly been dynamic in her debut season. She’s led the Lynx to the best record in the league, despite being without Napheesa Collier until late July. Collier finished as the MVP runner-up in 2024 and 2025.

Clark has also been phenomenal, helping the Fever reach another gear since the All-Star break. Her offensive profile can rival Wilson in this race, but she doesn’t quite have the same impact on the defensive end.

Wilson remains the best two-way player in the game. And her statistical resume continues to be otherworldly. Wilson is averaging 26.2 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists, two blocks, and 1.5 steals per contest. As long as the Aces finish as a top-three seed, Wilson is in line to win another MVP trophy.

But that shouldn’t take anything away from some incredible seasons by Miles and Clark.

Best challenger: Olivia Miles
Value to watch: Caitlin Clark
Long shot to monitor: Paige Bueckers

List of Past WNBA MVP Winners