WNBA MVP Odds 2026: A’ja Wilson Favored for 5th Trophy

Las Vegas Aces forward A’ja Wilson remains the betting favorite to win the 2026 WNBA MVP award, but Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers and Minnesota Lynx rookie Olivia Miles are in the mix as well.

Get the latest WNBA odds and predictions for the 2026 WNBA MVP race:

Odds to Win WNBA MVP 2026

Who is the WNBA MVP Betting Favorite in 2026?

Las Vegas Aces forward A’ja Wilson is the betting favorite in the latest WNBA MVP odds at BetMGM. Wilson is currently -375, giving her an implied probability of 78.95% to win a fifth MVP trophy in 2026.

Wilson cemented herself as one of the greatest players in league history following her 2025 campaign. In addition to guiding the Aces to an improbable championship after their 12-13 start, Wilson became the first player in league history to win a fourth MVP award. She received 51 of 72 first-place votes and 21 second-place votes (657 points) from a national panel of sportswriters and broadcasters.

Despite what she accomplished last year, Wilson began with the second-best odds at +250, trailing Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark as the early favorite (+225) in the preseason. The two players eventually switched places in this market in the final days before the regular season began.

While Clark has immense potential as a third-year guard, Wilson is the deserving favorite as the best player in the league at the peak of her powers.

WNBA MVP Prediction 2026

Prediction: A’ja Wilson

I don’t know how anyone could pick against Wilson at this point, especially given her competition in 2026.

Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier has been Wilson’s primary challenger of late, finishing runner-up in each of the past two MVP races. Collier appeared poised to win the award in 2025 before a late-season injury derailed her case. With Collier out until later in the summer, it’s difficult to imagine her as a threat in this year’s MVP competition.

New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart was named MVP in 2023, but her shooting numbers have dipped since then. Plus, she’s on a team with four All-Star candidates this year, which could ultimately limit her production.

Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark will remain a popular bet in this market, but I’m not sure she has the profile to compete with Wilson. Clark needs to be otherworldly on offense because she has defensive limitations, whereas Wilson is the best two-way player in the game.

So far this season, Wilson is averaging 25.5 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game. She started trading at minus odds following a 34-point performance against the Seattle Storm on June 8. Get ready for another MVP campaign from Wilson.

Best challenger: Paige Bueckers
Value to watch: Olivia Miles
Long shot to monitor: Caitlin Clark

WNBA MVP Betting: Most Popular Bets

As of this writing, here are the most popular bets in the 2026 WNBA MVP market at BetMGM:

Most tickets
A’ja Wilson 16%
Caitlin Clark 15.3%
Paige Bueckers 15%

Highest handle
A’ja Wilson 58.2%
Paige Bueckers 16.7%
Olivia Miles 6.1%

Past WNBA MVP Winners