Bucks vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 23

  • The Bucks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | CHSN

The Milwaukee Bucks visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The Bulls are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Bulls Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 12-15 against the spread, while the Bulls are 14-14 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+2.5 -115O 228.5 -110+110
Chicago Bulls -2.5 -105U 228.5 -110-135

Bulls vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Bulls.

Bulls vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.8% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+12.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+9.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 76 games (+21.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 78 games (+21.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.82 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 12-15 (-4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI).

  • 16-12 against the Moneyline (-3.1 Units / -4.52% ROI)
  • 12-16 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 16-12 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 14-14 (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI).

  • 13-16 against the Moneyline (+7.75 Units / 21.89% ROI)
  • 16-12 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI)
  • 12-16 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 76 games (-33.05 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-18.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 65 games (-17.68 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-26.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.50 Units / -21% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Bucks are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 121.4 points per game this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 12-8 (.600) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Bucks are 6-2 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls are 2-9 (.182) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.4 three-pointers per game this season — T-10th-highest in the NBA.

The Bulls are 4-9 (.308) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Bulls are 18-30 (.375) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Bulls are 4-2 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,176 assists/ 1,059 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Bucks averaged 47.1 points in the paint per game (3,864 points/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,004 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Bulls averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,027 points/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Bulls have averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4

The Bulls have averaged 12.1 second chance points per game (2,291 points/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (589 steals/92 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,241 steals/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,849 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls averaged 7.8 steals per game (638 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,747 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bulls have averaged 7.9 steals per game (744 steals/94 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.