Bucks vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 17, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Bucks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | BSOH | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 16-23 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 19-17 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-3.5 -115O 237.5 -115-175
Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 -105U 237.5 -105+145

Cavaliers vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Bucks and Cavaliers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Cavaliers vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 57.2% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 66 games (+17.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 away games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 80 games (+20.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+17.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 72 games (+10.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-23 (-9.35 Units / -21.15% ROI).

  • 28-12 against the Moneyline (+1.2 Units / 0.84% ROI)
  • 25-15 against the Over for game total points (+8.5 Units / 19.3% ROI)
  • 15-25 against the Under for game total points (-12.45 Units / -28.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 19-17 (+0.45 Units / 1.08% ROI).

  • 23-15 against the Moneyline (+7 Units / 9.99% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -6.93% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.75 Units / -1.8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 80 games (-30.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 39 games at home (-17.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-16.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-15.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 66 games (-24.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-20.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 47 games (-18.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games (-17.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games (-17.75 Units / -8% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks were 15-5 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers were 19-8 (.704) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Cavaliers are 5-2 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .589

The Cavaliers are 3-9 (.250) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .329

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. BucksWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 17

  • Ricky Rubio (Cleveland Cavaliers): Personal, Out
  • Caris LeVert (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 63.2 points per game (2,527 points/40 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,527 points/1,747 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 113.1 points per game (4,297 points/38 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Cavaliers have averaged 17.2 offensive rebounds per game (652 rebounds/38 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.8

The Cavaliers averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,043 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Cavaliers have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,748 rebounds/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (172 blocks/38 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (300 steals/38 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.