Bucks vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 6

  • The Celtics are -7.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDWI | NBSB

The Milwaukee Bucks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Celtics Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 8-12 against the spread, while the Celtics are 9-13 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Boston Celtics U

Celtics vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Celtics.

Celtics vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 87 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 63 of their last 99 games (+25.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 71 games (+22.87 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 66 games (+16.53 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+15.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 100 games (+13.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 8-12 (-5.2 Units / -22.51% ROI).

  • 11-10 against the Moneyline (-6.95 Units / -12.73% ROI)
  • 9-12 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 12-9 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 9-13 (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 18-4 against the Moneyline (-0.45 Units / -0.35% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 11-11 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 99 games (-39.15 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 58 games (-32.62 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 88 games (-27.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 43 games at home (-17.60 Units / -6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 77 games (-58.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 88 games (-30.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-24.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Bucks were 23-5 (.821) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Bucks are 40-4 (.909) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .779

The Bucks are 57-22 (.722) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 24-9 (.727) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Celtics are 45-10 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583

The Celtics are 42-2 (.955) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

The Celtics are 45-13 (.776) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Celtics were 19-7 (.731) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 72% from the free throw line (350/483) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,960 points/4,347 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Bucks have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (231 points/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Bucks made 14.2 three-pointers per game last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,028 rebounds/184 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have forced 11.8 turnovers per game (577 turnovers/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (20,398 points/16,796 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,985 rebounds/185 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.