Bucks vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -9.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | FDWI | NBSB

The Milwaukee Bucks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Celtics Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 1-2 against the spread, while the Celtics are 2-1 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+9.5 -110O 232.5 -110+340
Boston Celtics -9.5 -110U 232.5 -110-450

Celtics vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 79.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Celtics.

Celtics vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 69.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 52 games (+32.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 66 of their last 97 games (+31.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 66 of their last 100 games (+26.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 47 games (+19.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 60 of their last 100 games (+17.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Bucks have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 1-2 against the Moneyline (-6.6 Units / -70.21% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Celtics have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-0 against the Moneyline (+3 Units / 14.74% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 99 games (-45.50 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 39 games (-29.05 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 69 games (-27.20 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-21.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 93 games (-20.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 59 games (-58.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 65 games (-21.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 39 of their last 90 games (-16.00 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 51-21 (.708) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Bucks were 29-8 (.784) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Celtics were 36-9 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Celtics were 55-16 (.775) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics were 27-6 (.818) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Celtics vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported
  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks shot 74% from the free throw line (1,364/1,837) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Celtics made 1,351 three-pointers last season — most among NBA teams

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,404 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (4,607 points/3,889 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (9,359 points/7,594 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.