Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 15

  • The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Milwaukee Bucks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 21-33 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 26-29 against the spread.


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bucks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-11.5 -115O 223.5 -110-650
Memphis Grizzlies +11.5 -105U 223.5 -110+475

Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 away games (+12.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+16.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 21-33 (-15.3 Units / -25.23% ROI).

  • 35-20 against the Moneyline (-6.5 Units / -3.29% ROI)
  • 29-26 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.66% ROI)
  • 26-29 against the Under for game total points (-5.85 Units / -9.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 26-29 (-5.9 Units / -9.74% ROI).

  • 19-36 against the Moneyline (-3.15 Units / -4.82% ROI)
  • 24-31 against the Over for game total points (-10.1 Units / -16.69% ROI)
  • 31-24 against the Under for game total points (+4.6 Units / 7.6% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-25.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-25.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-24.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 73 games (-25.45 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 69 games (-22.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 62 games (-21.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 games (-19.50 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.30 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 22-3 (.880) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 1-20 (.048) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

The Grizzlies are 7-34 (.171) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 37% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. BucksThursday‘s Game, Feb. 15

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Ziaire Williams (Memphis Grizzlies): Hand, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Rose (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks averaged 1.4 fast break points per game (88 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,626 points/4,826 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (1,034/2,329) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,008 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.5 steals per game (559 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,835 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


Bet now on Grizzlies vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.