- The Heat are -2.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
- Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Bucks vs Heat Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 6-10 against the spread, while the Heat are 7-7 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | +2.5 -110 | O 222.5 -110 | +115 |
| Miami Heat | -2.5 -110 | U 222.5 -110 | -140 |
Heat vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Heat.
Heat vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 63.2% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.47 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+13.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 73 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 56 games (+10.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 6-10 (-5 Units / -26.74% ROI).
- 8-9 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -22.21% ROI)
- 7-10 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI)
- 10-7 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 7-7 against the Moneyline (+1.2 Units / 5.3% ROI)
- 8-6 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 6-8 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.75 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-23.05 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.95 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.40 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.05 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 73 games (-60.65 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.65 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 70 games (-25.20 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-24.00 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-22.70 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Bucks are 56-22 (.718) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Bucks are 6-1 (.857) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .584
The Bucks were 23-5 (.821) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
The Bucks are 28-13 (.683) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
The Heat are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Heat are 23-13 (.639) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks are shooting 72% from the free throw line (278/385) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks averaged 46.8 points in the paint per game (1,964 points/42 games) at home last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.9
The Bucks had a TS% of 53% last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (9,433 points/178 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,923 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,669 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/17 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (683 steals/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (292 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (578 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (286 blocks/88 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (335 blocks/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
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