Bucks vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 29, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Hornets Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 24-34 against the spread, while the Hornets are 23-35 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-11.5 -115O 217.5 -110-700
Charlotte Hornets +11.5 -105U 217.5 -110+500

Hornets vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 90.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Hornets.

Hornets vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hornets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 away games (+13.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 42 away games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 77 games (+17.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 74 games (+12.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games at home (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 24-34 (-13.4 Units / -20.6% ROI).

  • 38-21 against the Moneyline (-12.2 Units / -5.54% ROI)
  • 30-29 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.93% ROI)
  • 29-30 against the Under for game total points (-3.95 Units / -6.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 23-35 (-15.45 Units / -24.25% ROI).

  • 15-43 against the Moneyline (-2.65 Units / -4.38% ROI)
  • 28-30 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -7.84% ROI)
  • 30-28 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 77 games (-25.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 64 games (-25.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 52 games (-20.50 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 77 games (-31.15 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-21.60 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 66 games (-20.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-20.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.15 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 37-12 (.755) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed 118.2 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Hornets are 2-9 (.182) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Hornets are 2-13 (.133) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Hornets are 1-17 (.056) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Hornets are 5-20 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

Injury Report: Hornets vs. BucksThursday‘s Game, Feb. 29

  • Davis Bertans (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks shot 74% from the free throw line (1,364/1,837) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have 25.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets shot 45% (1,655/3,654) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets are shooting 33% from three (719/2,166) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets are shooting 46% (5,547/12,114) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,008 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,754 rebounds/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 43% from three (386/895) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (251 blocks/53 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hornets have allowed an eFG% of 58% this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.