- The Knicks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Watch the game on FDWI | MSG
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in New York, NY, USA.
The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Bucks vs Knicks Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 16-20 against the spread, while the Knicks are 18-19 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | +4.5 -115 | O 227.5 -110 | +145 |
| New York Knicks | -4.5 -105 | U 227.5 -110 | -175 |
Knicks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Sunday‘s game with 65.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Knicks.
Knicks vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 79 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+6.72 Units / 18% ROI)
Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+15.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+13.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.47 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+9.81 Units / 15% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-20 (-6 Units / -14.74% ROI).
- 21-16 against the Moneyline (-15.15 Units / -16.01% ROI)
- 16-21 against the Over for game total points (-7.1 Units / -17.44% ROI)
- 21-16 against the Under for game total points (+3.4 Units / 8.35% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 18-19 (-2.9 Units / -6.76% ROI).
- 25-14 against the Moneyline (-7.2 Units / -5.06% ROI)
- 21-17 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 5.37% ROI)
- 17-21 against the Under for game total points (-6.15 Units / -14.32% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
- The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 96 games (-35.15 Units / -32% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 86 games (-29.53 Units / -16% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 96 games (-27.25 Units / -16% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 85 games (-25.50 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-24.04 Units / -33% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 81 games (-61.90 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-25.90 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 games (-25.40 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. New York Knicks
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- New York Knicks Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- New York Knicks Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Bucks are 36-9 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Knicks have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.
The Bucks are 52-12 (.812) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Bucks are 44-4 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .778
The Bucks were 26-12 (.684) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Knicks are 17-6 (.739) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
The Knicks were 2-6 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Knicks were 14-3 (.824) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Knicks are 21-11 (.656) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .502
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (561/769) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (199 points/36 games) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 14.3 offensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/36 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (706 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6
The Knicks averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,557 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Knicks are shooting 37% from three (508/1,363) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Knicks have averaged 8.3 second chance points per game (1,554 points/188 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,388 rebounds/118 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (779 blocks/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Knicks have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (155 blocks/39 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Knicks have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,378 rebounds/39 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Knicks have averaged 7.6 steals per game (297 steals/39 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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