- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Milwaukee Bucks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Denver, CO, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bucks vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 35-35 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 34-38 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 77.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 70 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 33 games at home (+20.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 35-35 (-3.5 Units / -4.42% ROI).
- 41-31 against the Moneyline (-12.3 Units / -7.32% ROI)
- 34-38 against the Over for game total points (-7.8 Units / -9.85% ROI)
- 38-34 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 0.76% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 34-38 (-7.8 Units / -9.71% ROI).
- 45-28 against the Moneyline (+1.1 Units / 0.54% ROI)
- 44-29 against the Over for game total points (+12.1 Units / 15.07% ROI)
- 29-44 against the Under for game total points (-19.4 Units / -24.16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 71 games (-29.75 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 88 games (-27.50 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 95 games (-23.45 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.35 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-21.40 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 89 games (-46.95 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 89 games (-25.35 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 89 games (-21.55 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 77 games (-19.65 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 44 away games (-19.25 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Bucks are 23-10 (.697) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635
The Bucks are 53-19 (.736) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640
The Bucks are 54-8 (.871) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774
The Bucks are 19-11 (.633) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 45-4 (.918) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838
The Nuggets are 22-4 (.846) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611
The Nuggets are 57-18 (.760) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 9.9 second chance points per game (346 points/35 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Bucks have averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,008 rebounds/71 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (2,238 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.6
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (798 points/73 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (4,240 points/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9
The Nuggets have averaged 59.6 points in the paint per game (2,266 points/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (1,450 points/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (520 steals/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Bucks have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,674 rebounds/71 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,623 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,677 rebounds/73 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (807 blocks/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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