Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

  • The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | GCSE

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 20-21 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 19-25 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 64.6% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 away games (+7.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.72 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.90 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 20-21 (-3.1 Units / -6.71% ROI).

  • 25-17 against the Moneyline (-12.15 Units / -10.82% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 19-25 (-8.5 Units / -17.56% ROI).

  • 12-32 against the Moneyline (-20.35 Units / -33.17% ROI)
  • 25-18 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 10.74% ROI)
  • 18-25 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -19.63% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 59 games (-30.65 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.92 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 88 games (-24.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-17.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-17.60 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 86 games (-58.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-25.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-23.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 83 games (-22.40 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.25 Units / -22% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Bucks are 33-1 (.971) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838

The Bucks are 58-23 (.716) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-15 (.700) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

The Bucks are 10-5 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pelicans are 2-5 (.286) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 39% from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .292

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (667/910) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks have averaged 1.34 points per shot (14,430 points/10,803 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Bucks have averaged 5.4 fast break points per game (222 points/41 games) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 44% (1,764/3,984) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Pelicans had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,584 rebounds/123 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,549 rebounds/41 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (600 steals/64 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans have averaged 9.6 steals per game (422 steals/44 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pelicans have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (246 blocks/44 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.