Bucks vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 04, 2024, 12:01 AM
  • The Bucks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | FDDT

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 7-11 against the spread, while the Pistons are 11-10 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Detroit Pistons U

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 78.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Pistons.

Pistons vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 57.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+7.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 52 games (+17.49 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+12.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 75 games (+12.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games (+12.46 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 7-11 (-5.1 Units / -24.4% ROI).

  • 10-9 against the Moneyline (-6.1 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • 8-11 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI)
  • 11-8 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 11-10 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-13 against the Moneyline (-2.35 Units / -9.18% ROI)
  • 9-12 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -17.36% ROI)
  • 12-9 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games (-27.60 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 84 games (-22.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.07 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 62 games (-18.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 52 games (-16.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 games (-57.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 86 games (-27.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-22.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.30 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Bucks are 30-9 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks were 10-3 (.769) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Bucks are 51-12 (.810) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Bucks were 14-7 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons are 6-82 (.068) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Pistons are 17-56 (.233) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 72% from the free throw line (278/385) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,763 points/4,193 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,073 assists/ 665 TOs) in the first half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pistons have averaged 54.4 points per game (9,905 points/182 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.6

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons have averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (285 points/18 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,923 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/17 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (683 steals/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,669 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (104 steals/18 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 steals per game (635 steals/100 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pistons have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (663 rebounds/18 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (300 steals/48 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.