- The Bucks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Watch the game on FDWI | WMLW | FDSW
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX, USA.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Bucks vs Spurs Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 22-23 against the spread, while the Spurs are 21-23 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -1.5 -115 | O 235.5 -110 | -130 |
| San Antonio Spurs | +1.5 -105 | U 235.5 -110 | +105 |
Spurs vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 75.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Spurs.
Spurs vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.9% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.22 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 77 games (+22.02 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 67 games (+20.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 77 games (+17.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.52% ROI).
- 27-19 against the Moneyline (-13.35 Units / -10.97% ROI)
- 23-23 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 23-23 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 21-23 (-4.3 Units / -8.88% ROI).
- 20-24 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.6% ROI)
- 24-19 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.41% ROI)
- 19-24 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-20.68 Units / -23% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.82 Units / -21% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 71 games (-17.03 Units / -21% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 39 games (-16.36 Units / -37% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-14.72 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 87 games (-58.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 87 games (-21.15 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-18.90 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Bucks were 25-10 (.714) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
The Bucks are 10-6 (.625) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .529
The Bucks are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Spurs are 7-36 (.163) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-highest in the NBA.
The Spurs are 19-55 (.257) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have averaged 13.2 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-lowest in the NBA.
The Spurs are 7-36 (.163) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (734/999) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks have averaged 1.36 points per shot (7,285 points/5,347 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (239 points/45 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (21,134 points/17,126 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (10,012 points/8,332 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,704 rebounds/45 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks have averaged 7.0 steals per game (890 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (823 blocks/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs have averaged 6.9 blocks per game (303 blocks/44 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Spurs have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,547 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Spurs have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,615 rebounds/44 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
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