- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDWI | FDOK
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bucks vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 22-25 against the spread, while the Thunder are 28-17 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | O | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 74.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Thunder.
Thunder vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.9% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+9.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.22 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 88 games (+16.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 38 of their last 62 games (+14.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 64 games (+12.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 70 games (+8.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 22-25 (-5.5 Units / -10.42% ROI).
- 27-21 against the Moneyline (-16.45 Units / -13.19% ROI)
- 25-23 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.57% ROI)
- 23-25 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -8.52% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 28-17 (+9.3 Units / 17.61% ROI).
- 38-10 against the Moneyline (+9 Units / 3.87% ROI)
- 26-21 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 5.49% ROI)
- 21-26 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -14.39% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 91 games (-16.00 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-14.83 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 46 games at home (-14.10 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 83 games (-14.00 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 70 games (-12.62 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 87 games (-57.25 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-28.45 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.05 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 49 games (-18.93 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Bucks are 47-16 (.746) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 50.0 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.
The Bucks are 47-5 (.904) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777
The Bucks were 10-3 (.769) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Bucks are 38-19 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Thunder are 17-3 (.850) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Thunder are 47-8 (.855) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Thunder are 16-4 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438
The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 5.4 fast break points per game (254 points/47 games) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (765/1,044) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks averaged 46.8 points in the paint per game (1,964 points/42 games) at home last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.9
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (411 steals/62 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Bucks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (342 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,768 rebounds/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.1 steals per game (522 steals/47 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,216 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (838/1,963) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
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