Bucks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 23, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | ESPN | WMLW

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 21-34 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 29-25 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+4.5 -110O 225.5 -110+150
Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 -110U 225.5 -110-185

Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 67.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 away games (+13.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 82 games (+19.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games at home (+18.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 65 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 46% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 21-34 (-16.4 Units / -26.56% ROI).

  • 35-21 against the Moneyline (-15.75 Units / -7.61% ROI)
  • 30-26 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI)
  • 26-30 against the Under for game total points (-6.95 Units / -11.29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 29-25 (+1.45 Units / 2.39% ROI).

  • 39-16 against the Moneyline (+5.7 Units / 3.5% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -4.46% ROI)
  • 27-27 against the Under for game total points (-2.65 Units / -4.38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-28.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (-22.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 49 games (-15.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 70 games (-14.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 74 games (-34.70 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 63 games (-23.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 70 games (-23.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (-22.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.20 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Timberwolves are winless (0-6) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Timberwolves are 30-8 (.789) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Bucks have allowed 118.8 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are undefeated (8-0) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. BucksFriday‘s Game, Feb. 23

  • Wendell Moore Jr. (Minnesota Timberwolves): Knee, Out
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have averaged 122.7 points per game (6,626 points/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (643 points/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have 23.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,008 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (2,463 points/2,111 shots) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.