- The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | NSBA | BSWI
The Milwaukee Bucks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Bucks vs Warriors Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 27-34 against the spread, while the Warriors are 33-26 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | +3.5 -110 | O 227.5 -110 | +125 |
| Golden State Warriors | -3.5 -110 | U 227.5 -110 | -155 |
Warriors vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Warriors.
Warriors vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 59 games (+15.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+14.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 27-34 (-10.4 Units / -15.2% ROI).
- 41-21 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -3.91% ROI)
- 30-32 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.62% ROI)
- 32-30 against the Under for game total points (-0.95 Units / -1.39% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 33-26 (+4.4 Units / 6.66% ROI).
- 32-28 against the Moneyline (-1.4 Units / -1.19% ROI)
- 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-3.05 Units / -4.62% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 73 games (-19.90 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 55 games (-17.80 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 90 games (-16.75 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 73 games (-16.65 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 26 games (-13.90 Units / -48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (-27.90 Units / -9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 84 games (-24.70 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.70 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-20.05 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games (-19.45 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Bucks were 51-21 (.708) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Bucks were 32-9 (.780) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Bucks are 18-5 (.783) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188
The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Warriors were 13-12 (.520) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Bucks – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 6
- Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
- Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Bucks have an eFG% of 57% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Bucks have 25.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (1,336 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,008 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (534 blocks/133 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Warriors have averaged 6.6 steals per game (338 steals/51 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
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