Bulls vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 26

  • The Hawks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
  • Watch the game on CHSN | FDSE

The Chicago Bulls visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Bulls vs Hawks Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 14-15 against the spread, while the Hawks are 12-18 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+6.5 -110O 242.5 -110+200
Atlanta Hawks -6.5 -110U 242.5 -110-250

Hawks vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Thursday‘s game with 78.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Hawks.

Hawks vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 58.1% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+25.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 52 of their last 79 games (+22.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 77 games (+20.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.87 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.82 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 47 games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.93 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 14-15 (-2.5 Units / -7.58% ROI).

  • 13-17 against the Moneyline (+6.35 Units / 17.26% ROI)
  • 16-13 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 5.15% ROI)
  • 13-16 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -13.94% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 12-18 (-7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 15-15 against the Moneyline (+9.65 Units / 21.05% ROI)
  • 19-11 against the Over for game total points (+6.9 Units / 20.91% ROI)
  • 11-19 against the Under for game total points (-9.9 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-23.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-22.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 77 games (-32.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 66 games (-18.88 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 away games (-17.85 Units / -39% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Bulls are 4-34 (.105) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Bulls are 18-9 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Bulls are 18-25 (.419) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Bulls were 10-14 (.417) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Hawks are 15-22 (.405) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Hawks are 15-2 (.882) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have made 16.3 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Bulls have 19.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0

The Bulls averaged 22.4 points in the paint per game (1,836 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Bulls made 11.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks made 13.7 three-pointers per game last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Hawks averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,492 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Hawks have made 13.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Hawks have averaged 14.9 second chance points per game (447 points/30 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have allowed 56.5 points in the paint per game (1,696 points/30 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48.2

The Bulls averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,849 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,136 rebounds/30 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Bulls averaged 7.8 steals per game (638 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 10.2 steals per game (305 steals/30 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Hawks have allowed 15.9 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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