- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SUN | CHS+
The Chicago Bulls visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL, FL, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bulls vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 29-32 against the spread, while the Heat are 29-32 against the spread.
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Bulls vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Chicago Bulls | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Heat.
Heat vs Bulls Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.
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Bulls Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 away games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+9.85 Units / 159% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.50 Units / 46% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+13.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 52 of their last 89 games (+12.77 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 89 games (+10.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 29-32 (-6.1 Units / -8.82% ROI).
- 25-38 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.38% ROI)
- 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.44% ROI)
- 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.5% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 29-32 (-6.2 Units / -9.08% ROI).
- 29-33 against the Moneyline (-9.1 Units / -8.75% ROI)
- 33-29 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.61% ROI)
- 29-33 against the Under for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.7% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 54 games (-21.03 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-15.70 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 41 games (-14.72 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 83 games (-14.45 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 58 games (-13.30 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bulls:
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.30 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.25 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.55 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 78 games (-18.45 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.70 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Chicago Bulls
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Chicago Bulls vs. Miami Heat
- Chicago Bulls Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Chicago Bulls Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Bulls are winless (0-14) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .258
The Bulls are 6-18 (.250) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
The Bulls are 1-15 (.062) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .291
The Bulls are 12-17 (.414) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls
The Heat are 12-5 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Heat are undefeated (7-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .742
The Heat are 5-17 (.227) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Bulls have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.
The Heat are 27-6 (.818) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .698
Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Bulls have a 21% free throw rate (1,212 free throw attempts/5,803 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Bulls have 19.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
The Bulls averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (466 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 110.1 points per game (6,826 points/62 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.6
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bulls averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,849 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bulls have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,374 rebounds/63 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bulls have allowed 55.0 points in the paint per game (3,466 points/63 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48.8
The Bulls have averaged 7.5 steals per game (474 steals/63 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (236 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (512 blocks/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (232 blocks/62 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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