Bulls vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | NBCH

The Chicago Bulls visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Bulls vs Pelicans Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 29-26 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 31-25 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+4.5 -110O 223.5 -110+155
New Orleans Pelicans -4.5 -110U 223.5 -110-190

Pelicans vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 67 games (+14.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 80 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 63 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 77 games (+34.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 77 games (+19.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games (+17.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+16.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 29-26 (+0.4 Units / 0.65% ROI).

  • 26-30 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -2.88% ROI)
  • 30-25 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 4.06% ROI)
  • 25-30 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units / -12.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 31-25 (+3.55 Units / 5.67% ROI).

  • 34-23 against the Moneyline (+6.55 Units / 5.49% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-14.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-13.05 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 73 games (-11.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 67 games (-21.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 80 games (-19.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 64 games (-14.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 19 games (-13.45 Units / -60% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Bulls are winless (0-17) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Bulls are 4-16 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

The Bulls were 10-16 (.385) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Bulls are 1-24 (.040) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Pelicans are 11-1 (.917) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 13-22 (.371) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Pelicans were 14-22 (.389) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. BullsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 25

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,142 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (755 points/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (6,272 points/4,740 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Pelicans averaged 28% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (2,000 free throw attempts/7,181 field goal attempts) last season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 8.2 steals per game (556 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (352/1,087) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.