Cavaliers vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Hawks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 20-17 against the spread, while the Hawks are 11-30 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-3.5 -110O 229.5 -110-160
Atlanta Hawks +3.5 -110U 229.5 -110+135

Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Saturday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Cavaliers and Hawks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hawks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 80 games (+20.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+18.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+11.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 71 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 20-17 (+1.45 Units / 3.4% ROI).

  • 24-15 against the Moneyline (+8 Units / 11.21% ROI)
  • 18-20 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -9.31% ROI)
  • 20-18 against the Under for game total points (+0.25 Units / 0.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 11-30 (-21.9 Units / -48.67% ROI).

  • 18-23 against the Moneyline (-11 Units / -16.08% ROI)
  • 22-18 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 4.88% ROI)
  • 18-22 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -13.75% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 77 games (-30.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 35 games (-23.55 Units / -61% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-22.05 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-20.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 80 games (-30.20 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 80 games (-14.40 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 51 games (-13.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 51 games (-13.00 Units / -23% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Cavaliers were 37-26 (.587) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Cavaliers were 17-10 (.630) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers are 16-6 (.727) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Cavaliers are 9-3 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Hawks are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Hawks vs. CavaliersSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 20

  • Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks): Wrist, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Kobe Bufkin (Atlanta Hawks): Thumb, Out
  • Ricky Rubio (Cleveland Cavaliers): Personal, Out
  • Caris LeVert (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers shot 49% (3,408/6,984) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Cavaliers had 22.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Cavaliers are shooting 35% from three (505/1,427) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (1,050 assists/ 581 TOs) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Hawks have averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (647 points/41 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (488 assists/ 304 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Hawks have averaged 120.7 points per game (4,947 points/41 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,404 rebounds/39 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (305 steals/39 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers allowed an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (175 blocks/39 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 8.1 steals per game (334 steals/41 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Hawks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (186 blocks/41 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have 334 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,372 rebounds/41 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.