- The Cavaliers are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | Max | SUN | FDOH
The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Cavaliers vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 49-34 against the spread, while the Heat are 42-43 against the spread.
Bet now on Heat vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cleveland Cavaliers | O | ||
Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Saturday‘s game with 78.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Heat.
Heat vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 88 games (+27.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 86 games (+20.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 61 of their last 84 games (+14.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+14.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 86 games (+13.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+21.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+19.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 52 games (+15.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+14.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 49-34 (+11.6 Units / 12.55% ROI).
- 66-18 against the Moneyline (+24.15 Units / 6.2% ROI)
- 53-31 against the Over for game total points (+18.9 Units / 20.45% ROI)
- 31-53 against the Under for game total points (-27.3 Units / -29.55% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 42-43 (-5.3 Units / -5.6% ROI).
- 39-47 against the Moneyline (-16.45 Units / -10.48% ROI)
- 47-39 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 4.33% ROI)
- 39-47 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -13.42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 89 games (-25.65 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.18 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.43 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 55 games (-19.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 65 games (-18.92 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 79 games (-37.68 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 92 games (-29.80 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.45 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 92 games (-26.90 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 92 games (-23.22 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat
- Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Cavaliers are undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Cavaliers are 46-7 (.868) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Cavaliers are 101-45 (.692) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509
The Cavaliers are 11-2 (.846) when attempting 15 or less free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers
The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Cavaliers have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Heat are 37-4 (.902) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820
The Heat are 9-15 (.375) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Heat are 33-27 (.550) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Cavaliers are shooting 38% from three (1,303/3,401) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Cavaliers have averaged 1.34 points per shot (9,999 points/7,444 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Cavaliers are shooting 38% from three (640/1,671) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat have averaged 53.4 points per game (8,759 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (964 points/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Cavaliers have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,896 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Cavaliers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (730 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (594 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (292 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Bet now on Heat vs Cavaliers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
