- The Cavaliers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max | FDOH
The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Cavaliers vs Heat Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 50-34 against the spread, while the Heat are 42-44 against the spread.
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Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | -8.5 -110 | O 211.5 -115 | -375 |
| Miami Heat | +8.5 -110 | U 211.5 -105 | +300 |
Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Heat.
Heat vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Cavaliers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 89 games (+28.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 87 games (+19.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 62 of their last 85 games (+15.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+15.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 53 games (+20.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games (+18.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)
Cleveland Cavaliers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 50-34 (+12.6 Units / 13.48% ROI).
- 67-18 against the Moneyline (+25.15 Units / 6.42% ROI)
- 53-32 against the Over for game total points (+17.8 Units / 19.04% ROI)
- 32-53 against the Under for game total points (-26.3 Units / -28.13% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 42-44 (-6.4 Units / -6.68% ROI).
- 39-48 against the Moneyline (-17.45 Units / -11.05% ROI)
- 47-40 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 3.13% ROI)
- 40-47 against the Under for game total points (-11.7 Units / -12.23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 89 games (-25.65 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.18 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 56 games (-20.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 66 games (-19.92 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.43 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Cavaliers:
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 80 games (-36.68 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 93 games (-28.80 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 93 games (-27.95 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-27.45 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 93 games (-22.50 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Cleveland Cavaliers
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat
- Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Cavaliers are undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Cavaliers are 46-7 (.868) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Cavaliers are 58-17 (.773) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Cavaliers are 35-6 (.854) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 50.8 rebounds/game this season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers
The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Cavaliers have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.
The Heat are undefeated (19-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .897
The Heat are 29-6 (.829) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703
The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Cavaliers have averaged 1.34 points per shot (9,999 points/7,444 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Cavaliers have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Cavaliers have averaged 121.9 points per game (9,999 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (964 points/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (355 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Cavaliers have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,896 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (292 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (594 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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