Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 11

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on TNT | Max

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Pacers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 52-36 against the spread, while the Pacers are 40-46 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Indiana Pacers U

Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pacers.

Pacers vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 91 games (+21.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 89 games (+21.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 91 games (+16.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 65 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 91 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 65 games (+40.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 55 games (+27.29 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 55 games (+19.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+10.02 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 52-36 (+12.4 Units / 12.67% ROI).

  • 69-20 against the Moneyline (+21.5 Units / 5.34% ROI)
  • 56-33 against the Over for game total points (+19.7 Units / 20.12% ROI)
  • 33-56 against the Under for game total points (-28.6 Units / -29.21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 40-46 (-10.6 Units / -10.7% ROI).

  • 56-34 against the Moneyline (+23.7 Units / 9.87% ROI)
  • 47-39 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 4.14% ROI)
  • 39-47 against the Under for game total points (-12.7 Units / -12.83% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 43 games (-25.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 94 games (-20.04 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 95 games (-18.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 84 games (-35.08 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 91 games (-30.80 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 91 games (-29.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-25.60 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 90 games (-24.12 Units / -24% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers are undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers are 58-17 (.773) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Cavaliers are 13-1 (.929) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Cavaliers are 29-6 (.829) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pacers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Pacers are 21-11 (.656) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pacers are 33-15 (.688) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Pacers were 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers had 20.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.34 points per shot (4,970 points/3,698 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,304 assists/ 1,082 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,896 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (375 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,876 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2


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